Prospect Rankings Update: 1/22/11

Hello all!  <(|^^^|)>

I have once again completely updated all of the position rankings for prospects eligible for this years draft. The new rankings now include all the underclassmen who declared before the January 15th deadline. Also, The Inside Linebackers, Cornerbacks, and both Safety positions are now up! You can see the new rankings indexed HERE.

Also, stock reports from both the East-West Shrine Game and the NFLPA Collegiate Bowl will be posted tomorrow. This week begins coverage of all of the events leading up to the Senior Bowl. This also means, time for the first mock draft this week, which workps perfectly since the 2012 draft order will be basically set.

Stay tuned, and I hope you enjoy the newest update.

 

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Questionable Defensive 2012 NFL Draft Entries

***Here is a continued spotlight of some of this years surprising few who have thrown their name into consideration for the 2012 draft; this time looking at defensive players.***

‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡Part 2 – Defense‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡

Marcus Forston, DT —r.Jr.— Miami U
          Since the very beginning of his career at Miami, Forston has been under the microscopes of NFL scouts across the country. He was the top interior lineman prospect coming out of high school, and the hype surrounding his potential would haunt him throughout the entirety of his career at Miami. It does not help that Forston was involved in the Nevin Shapiro scandal that has even further destabilized the program in Coral Gables, after many  disappointing seasons outside of the national spotlight. Forston was part of the first class that was supposed to bring Miami back into contention, but instead has only further stained the U’s prestige. Forston showed his high talent ceiling his first season starting as a true freshman, but underwhelmed every year after that and received a medical redshirt in 2009. In his 2010 season after returning for injury, his TFL jumped to 12, but failed to increase his tackle total significantly or his sacks (3 in ’08 & ’10). This past season was when the wheels fell apart, as Forston was suspended for his role in the Shapiro  scheme and only played three miserable games this year before shutting down entirely due to injury.

          Forston’s decision to enter the draft does not seem very wise at all given the circumstances regarding his production at Miami, especially the 2011 season. However, the  Miami U program continues to be one of the most inconsistent and unstable programs year to year now, and has failed on numerous accounts to turn its supreme recruited talent into  the stars on the gridiron that poured from South Beach in past years. Miami set records for  the number of players taken in early draft rounds years ago, but that trend has ended most recently. Forston is a true example of the change in the U’s ability to develop standouts. The program shows no signs of a quick turnaround in 2012, so maybe Forston decided it was safer to risk injury again and to enter. A strong senior year definitely would have jolted his draft stock, but another injury would have completely destroyed his chances of getting drafted due to durability concerns. As a result, Forston will remain an enigma throughout the entire draft process; his production and film of his collegiate experience does not always fit his talent ceiling. As a result, he will most likely remain a mid round pick despite his potential.

DECISION: GOOD

Michael Brockers, DT, —r.So.— Louisiana State
          With only two days before the deadline, Brockers shook up draft boards across the country by tossing his name into the hat for this April. As a redshirt sophomore, Brockers truly emerged as one of the nations standout defensive linemen for arguably the best unit in the nation. It helps that he was playing alongside the likes of Sam Montgomery and Co., but Brockers is the real deal. He was not a very highly touted prospect coming out of high school, but over his past three years at LSU he has really grown into his massive frame and  greatly developed his abilities as an interior force. The 2011 season was his first year as starter, and he piled up 54 tackles, 10 for a loss, and 2 sacks. His sack total was low, but his ability to disrupt the pocket cannot simply be quantified with the sack statistic, much like Jerel Worthy. Also, he was part of a very deep group of lineman at LSU, and was frequently rotated in and out. Early this season, Brockers stood out to me immediately as a sleeper to breakout, as well as a serious prospect for early round discussion for the 2013 draft. He grew into the foundation of such a prospect in 2011.

          Of all the defensive prospects who entered the draft this year, Brockers’ entry is the most surprising. The funny thing is, I am bold enough to make the prediction that Brockers is taken in the first 25 picks come April. Given that quantification, his entry does not seem all that surprising. However, Brockers is only a redshirt sophomore with one year’s worth of starting experience. Also, his stats do not tell the entire story when it comes to his performance in 2011. Returning for school next season would have allowed him to improve even further overall, as well as the stat sheet. As the season waned to a close, I considered Brockers an early, hot pick for my top prospects to watch for the 2013 draft. With how much he has progressed since his arrival at LSU, it would not have been ludicrous to slate him as a future top ten pick in 2013. However, Brockers bailed early, and [I believe] he will cash in come Thursday night this April. However, it will be very hard to propel him into top fifteen discussion. The only way I can see such a thing happening is the lack of elite interior talent this season. Devon Still and Fletcher Cox are the current leaders of this class, and they would probably be second round picks in other draft years. Brockers may have not made the right choice, but given his performance in 2011, there is no way to say he did not make a good one.

DECISION: Meh…but $MART 

Chandler Jones, DE —r.Jr.— Syracuse
          You may not know that Jones is the brother of Ravens DT and Syracuse alum Arthur Jones, as well as UFC phenom Jon Jones. What you do know, is that Chandler Jones is another underclassman who decided to enter the draft after one fruitful season of prominence. As a redshirt junior in 2011, Jones piled up 38 tackles, 7.5 for a loss, 4.5 sacks, and 2 forced fumbles despite only appearing in seven games due to injury. His performance earned him first team All-Big East honors. Much like Michael Brockers, Chandler Jones emerged as a potential pro prospect early in the year, and I considered him a possible early round pick for 2013. He is a weapon as a pass rusher, and still has the size and strength to hold up as a stopping force in the ground game. His performance in Syracuse’s home stand and upset of West Virginia was the hallmark performance of 2011 for Jones. He tormented the WVU O-Line all game, and made his pressure felt throughout. He returned from injury that week, and dispelled those worries. Although, when Syracuse disappeared from relevance as the season wore on, Jones’ presence decreased. Out of all the prolific underclassmen defensive linemen who emerged as playmakers this season, Jones was one of the prospects I least expected to jump to the NFL immediately.

The good news about Jones’ declaration is that he has a draftable grade, worthy of a selection as early as the fourth round. However, Jones could just as easily be graded as late as the fifth or sixth round when the pre-draft murkiness clears up. There is no doubt that Jones flashed something special at times in 2011, but the consistency was not there. This is why his draft range is more volatile than similar prospects who fit his draft range, like Vinny Curry or Jake Bequette. [i.e. Remember George Selvie?...I was wrong on that one] Jones, ironically, enters the draft in a similar fashion as his brother Arthur did in 2010. I really did not even consider the possibility that Jones would have left this early, because he was headed straight for preiminary first round consideration for 2013. Jones has the tools, the athleticism, and the skill set, but I still do not  know if he is NFL ready. Even though I do not think he will fall past the fifth round in the worst case scenario, I still do not think this was a very wise decision based upon the prospect of a first round draft stock if he had a solid season in 2013.

DECISION: BAD

Donte Paige-Moss, DE/(3-4)OLB —r.Jr.— North Carolina
          Paige-Moss entered Chapil Hill as one of the programs most highly touted recruits in history. Ranked second at his position and in the top twenty nationally, high expectations were set from day one. From the very beginning, Paige-Moss’ time in Chapel Hill was very tumultuous. He was arrested before he even took the field, and was very disappointing in significant time his freshman season. But in 2010, the player he was hyped up to be truly came out. In his sophomore campaign he totaled 49 tackles, 13.5 for a loss, 7 sacks and one forced fumble and blocked kick each. After that season, he was on the short list of star underclassmen to watch not only for the draft, but to break out as a star in 2011. From the conclusion of 2010 on, though, it was all downhill. This season he lost his starting job, clashed with coaches, and showed limited desire and effort. To make matters only worse, he lost his job to a sophomore in Kareem Martin, and then tore his ACL in UNC’s bowl game after ripping the coaching staff, program, and fans. The final totals of his dismal 2011:  29 tackles, 4 for a loss, and 2 sacks.

          Before the very first kickoff of the 2011 season, I had Donte Paige-Moss ranked in the top five for both DE’s and Rush OLB’s eligible for the 2012 draft. It did not take very long for Paige-Moss to free fall down that list, and out of draft discussion completely. The only recognition he gained this season was for how he returned to immature and apathetic ways of the past. In a normal to above average year for DE/(3-4)OLB’s, Paige-Moss would not have any shot of being drafted. In fact, he is only still in consideration for this April due to the high level of talent and promise he has shown in the past. He will have a steep hill to climb and overcome until draft day, and even further on after that. Missing all of the pre-draft events is one thing; missing your first preseason is another. The future is very murky for Paige-Moss, but the moron had no other chance than to declare after he destroyed his reputation at UNC.

DECISION: What an idiot.

Terrell Manning, OLB —r.Jr.— North Carolina State
          After emerging as a standout player last season as a redshirt sophomore, Manning followed up by putting together a solid season in 2011. After 75 tackles, 10.5 for a loss, 4.5 sacks, 2 forced fumbles and an interception in 2010, Manning slightly improved in 2011 by accruing 76 tackles, 14.5 for a loss, 5.5 sacks, 4 forced fumbles, and three interceptions. His production is quite outstanding as an outside backer in a 4-3, but Manning is not a spectacular athlete compared to the likes of the elite outside backers of this class, and does not play the run as well of some of the other backers in his draft range, such as Bobby Wagner and Emmanuel Acho. However, Manning was a leader on a very strong defensive unit, and showed up to play every game in 2011. In fact, he compares favorably in a lot of ways to former NCST linebacker Nate Irving, who left for the NFL last season. They share a lot of the same questions about athleticism and making tackles in traffic at the line of scrimmage. The difference is, where Irving’s height was the question, its Manning’s strength.

          Manning’s decision to declare was every bit as surprising as the other prospects on this list, but for other reasons. At the beginning of their careers, Manning was probably the least touted among these eight, but has shown that he can produce at the same NFL-caliber level as the others, as well as other backers. Right now, he looms in the mid round range, but the next few months could really clarify what class of prospect Manning really is. I would not be surprised to see his draft stock increase, but it very well might not do anything at all. He could have returned in 2012 as a Butkus award candidate with the opportunity to add further to his 2011 stats. With that judgment, it is really difficult to say whether or not he made the right decision.

DECISION: Meh

Jonathan Massaquoi, OLB —r.Jr.— Troy
          Jonathan Massaquoi qualifies as one of the many athletes to have played out of position at defensive end in college, and will instead be better fit at an outside linebacker position in the NFL. At an undersized 6’2″, 250 Pounds with considerable pass rushing skills, Massaquoi seems destined for the outside in a 3-4 scheme at the next level. Even more so because of the ends that have come from Troy to play similar roles in the NFL on the outside (Ware, specifically). After a breakout sophomore campaign, his first as a starter, Massaquoi amounted 76 tackles, 20.5 for a loss, 12.5 sacks, and 2 forced fumbles. Pretty impressive numbers for an undersized end. Following the 2010 season, Massaquoi emerged on the radars of NFL scouts, as they would search for evidence of Massaquoi as the next elite pass rusher from Troy. 2010 provided lots of hope, but his 2011 campaign resulted only in disappointment. He concluded his redshirt junior season with 52 tackles, 10.5 for a loss, 6 sacks,  one forced fumble and one blocked kick. The clear regression has worried scouts about his true potential at the next level.

          After a tremendous first year as a starter in 2010, his second year fared less successful for Massaquoi. Now, talent evaluators will really need to break it down and determine whether or not his regression in 2011 was due to increased blocking attention, a decrease in effort, true skill level, or some combination of factors. From the first game of the year against Clemson, I could tell that defenses were aware of the threat he posed, especially for a team that has no other significant standout defensively. Much like Quinton Coples, his lack of increased production this season was due to his wild success the season before. Simply, offensive coordinators knew they had to eliminate Massaquoi as a deciding factor in order to gain the upper hand game in and game out this season. I still think that Massaquoi is a legitimate option in the early middle rounds this season, despite his 2011 slide. Playing as an undersized end eventually reaches its limits, especially in Troy’s system. Another year of increased attention and stagnated statistics would only have hurt his stock in 2013.

DECISION: GOOD

Josh Robinson, CB —Jr.— Central Florida
          Robinson’s declaration is surprising due to the very few prospects that declare early from Conference USA. It is even more so because Robinson was not on my radar, or possibly anybody’s radar, as possible defensive backs who would take their talents to the NFL a year or two early. In fact, I had little heard of Josh Robinson at all, other than the fact that I took note he earned his second consecutive honor as First Team All-CUSA at corner after earning it as a true sophomore in 2010. In his three years, he totaled 36 pass breakups, falling short of NFL great Asante Samuel’s all time record by only two. After recording six interceptions starting as a freshman, quarterbacks decidedly threw his way fewer and fewer times a game, and recorded only two each of the next two seasons. Such performance certainly deserves consideration for the NFL.

          The problem is, the 2012 draft will seemingly be a strong year for cornerbacks. And, to make matters worse, the top 5 to 7 corners are pretty much firmly established already. Compared to other corners that currently fit his draft range, Robinson did not play as daunting of opponents as some of the others faced. That washes Robinson’s name further down the list even more prematurely. Robinson will have to prove to scouts that he can compete at the same level as other entering corners from bigger programs. Robinson’s stat sheet resume checks out, but the deciding factor will be the performances he puts on for the NFL combine and his respective pro day. I currently have him ranked outside of my top ten corners, but within mid round draft status. Robinson was consistent in production ever since he stepped on the field at UCF though, and I do not see how another dominant season would not have helped his pro potential rather with a return for 2012 rather than declaring this year.

DECISION: BAD

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Questionable Offensive 2012 NFL Draft Entries

2012 NFL Draft — Surprising Declarations

‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡Part 1 – Offense‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡‡

 Every year following the collegiate bowl games, a frenzy of underclassmen who forego the rest of their collegiate eligibility takes place in order to declare for the pros. It is always intriguing to see which prospects choose to declare and who chooses to return each year. Although draft experts now have a better feel each year for which prospects will inevitably leave school, every year there are a surprising few who choose to leave over returning to school. Here is a spotlight of some of this years surprising few who have thrown their name into consideration for the 2012 draft.

Brock Osweiler, QB —r.Jr.— Arizona State
          During his redshirt junior campaign, Osweiler showed off the physical talent that scouts have been inquiring about since his arrival at ASU. In his first complete season as the Dun Devil’s starting quarterback, Osweiler threw for just over 4,000 yards, 26 touchdowns and only 13 interceptions. Despite the Sun Devil’s late season collapse, Osweiler’s performance this season certainly brought the Sun Devil offense to a new level that it has not seen in recent seasons. Despite his individual success, Dennis Erickson’s failures as head coach of the program overshadowed his breakout campaign in 2011. The offseason turmoil that the program will now face as it transitions to new head coach Todd Graham was likely the main factor in Osweiler’s decision to turn pro.
          Osweiler’s draft declaration is a little disappointing to most scouts, as this year he truly revealed his potential as a signal caller for the next level. He has all the raw physical talent, measuring in at about 6’8″, 240 pounds, and can make all the throws required to be successful at the next level. One aspect of Osweiler’s game that cannot be accurately evaluated is his consistency. One season as the starter is just not adequate enough to determine a prospect’s capability at the next level. One part of this consistency aspect that also was questioned his season was his performance in the spotlight. Arizona State and Osweiler certainly put up valiant efforts in their prime time showdowns, but came away empty handed against big foes like Oregon. In big moments, Osweiler seemed to crumple and make unnecessary mistakes. However, an upset over USC certainly provides promise. I believe consistency and confidence to be closely related, so this will be heavily scrutinized during pre-draft preparations. Entering the draft process at this moment, Osweiler carries a mid round grade anywhere after the second round. However, with a traditionally weak class of quarterbacks this season, Osweiler might be tempting for teams looking for an underrated prospect in the second round.

DECISION: GOOD

Darron Thomas, QB —r.Jr.— Oregon
          Despite being the starting quarterback for a very prolific Oregon team for the past few seasons, this declaration was much disturbing to me. Darron must be just as smart as his buddy Cliff Harris after this decision. Seriously, Darron Thomas is gaining nothing by declaring for the NFL a year ahead of time. He is a great athlete, but no where near a great quarterback, especially one with a bright future in the pros.  Despite an impressive TD-to-INT  (33 to 9) and YPC (8.1), Thomas threw for only 2,700 yards and did not do much to prove that he is more than a collegiate system quarterback. In fact, his statistics this season were almost identical to that of his redshirt sophomore campaign in 2010. The talent may be there, but the refinement surely is not.
          With such a premature declaration, Thomas may not even be best fit to try and play quarterback at the next level. He has the size and the tools to play wide receiver, but that does not even seem like a very wise idea at this point. At best, Thomas will figure to be a late round pick as the draft winds to a close. Mr. Thomas willhave a very difficult future in making a squad and proving that he is NFL level material.  

DECISION: BAD

Robert Turbin, RB —r.Jr.— Utah State
           After a tremendous 2011 campaign in which Turbin ranked towards the top of the majority of rushing statistics, he decided to declare for the draft.  Robert Turbin is certainly an NFL prospect, and I believe he will be drafted next year, but it is no guarantee. In today’s era, the running back is not a highly sought position in the early rounds, and very few are taken annually in the first sixty four selections. To declare early as a running back signifies that the prospect believes that they have the chance to be selected in such a range. Despite 1,500 yards, 19 touchdowns, and over 6.0 YPC and 110.0 YPG in his 2011 campaign, I am not willing to classify Turbin in the same talent group that includes Richardson, Miller, Wilson or James. There are also injury concerns with Turbin, as he tore his knee before the 2010 season.
There is at least some consolation in the fact that Turbin was already established as a 1,000+ yard feature before he tore his knee up. He has proven that he has the talent to be an NFL back someday. But, these decisions are graded on their timliness, and I would not deem Turbin’s a smart one. If Montee Ball was unhappy with the prediction the advisory board gave him, I cannot imagine how Turbin could have been happy with his own. With another year’s experience, Turbin may have been able to put himself into round two possibility, but I can simply not envision him being selected any earlier than the fifth round in April.

DECISION: Meh

Ronnie Hillman, RB —r.So.— San Diego State           Ronnie Hillman was one of this year’s rare redshirt sophomores to declare early. His counterparts include the likes of Lamar Miller and  Michael Brockers. However, Hillman is not as NFL ready as Miller is, and I see him as more a long term prospect than a immediate investment. After a breakout redshirt freshman campaign in 2010 where Hillman rose up the boards in rushing statistics, he followed up with another brilliant campaign as a sophomore. He also showed steady improvement into his second year and improved upon the phenomenal stats he put up as a freshman. The reason I am very surprised that Hillman decided to enter the draft so early is that he could have been a higher selection guaranteed had he decided to wait for the 2013 or even 2014 draft. His 1,700+ yards, 19 touchdowns, and 5.5 YPC are impressive, but he simply cannot be considered along the likes of more highly touted backs who can contribute immediately.
With declaring early, Hillman basically has erased any chance that he is selected within the first four rounds. He has the speed and vision to play in the NFL, but the experience is just not there yet. Especially, because tail back is one of the positions for which it is most important to be durable. As mentioned earlier, to declare early as a running back, you have to be special. Ronnie Hillman has put up some pretty impressive numbers, and a lot of arguments can be made for his case, but I just do not see him in the same league as similar backs like Lamar Miller. After watching SDSU’s bowl game against UL-L this season, my fears were only confirmed. Even though the play of his front line was awful, Hillman could not get anything going against a mediocre Sun Belt defense. Even though they are very different backs, Hillman carries a range quite similar to Robert Turbin, and I see him as an option any where after the fourth round.

DECISION: BAD

Darrell Scott, RB —r.Jr.— South Florida           Of all the offensive prospects who have forgone the rest of their NCAA eligibiity for the draft, Darrell Scott’s decision to do so is arguably the most controversial. The prime tail back recruit from the class of 2008, Darrell Scott most controversially selected the University of Colorado. During his time there, he severely disappointed due to a high level of under achievement. In a move to save his career, Scott transferred to USF and sat out 2010 in order to play as a redshirt junior in 2011. Scott’s season was a solid building block for what could have been an impressive senior year, but he opted for the draft after only rushing for 814 yards and 5 scores in 2011.
Darrell Scott’s decision to enter is very perplexing, as he essentially is giving up on the remaining eligibility he sacrificed so much for. It is hard to imagine that the reason he chose to enter was because of a fear of being over taken next year. It is also hard to imagine that Darrell Scott received any sort of draft grade that would have enticed him to make the jump. Simply put, Darrell Scott has never fulfilled his potential or the promises he has made. He is an undrafted prospect right now, but has the overall talent to be considered in the late rounds. Buyer, beware.  

DECISION: BAD


Steven Hill, WR —r.Jr.— Georgia Tech
           Of all the high powered passsing attacks seen across college football today, you wont see that from the likes of Georgia Tech. In such a dramatic “run first” system, it would be very hard for any receiver to stand out statistically. However, Stephen Hill is the third big name receiver to come out of Georgia Tech in the last five years. Like Demaryius and Calvin before him, Hill found a way to grab the scout’s attention this year. On the perimeter, Hill was a dangerous target. His play making and ability to go up and get the ball stands out most. However, Hill is a raw talent, and is not at the level Thomas or Johnson were when they left GT. Hill checks in at 6’5″ 205 pounds, and can leap like a deer. These traits were on display all season as Hill made some unbelievable catches.
However, many of Hill’s flaws stood out this year too. The biggest issue of all was that Hill dropped way too many easy completions. Lack of focus and awareness is never good when evaluated during the pre-draft process. Also, similar to Demaryium Thomas, I believe that Hill will have a difficult time transitioning to the NFL as he refines his route running. This was something that was very difficult for Thomas during his adjustment as well; the system at Georgia Tech just does not benefit its receivers during the draft scouting process. Hill has a very high ceiling, precisely the reason he gave for his declaration. However, he has a low floor too, and could even go undrafted when all is said and done. I can see him being selected from the fourth round on. Hill might be even to take that grade up if he performs very well in the upcoming pre-draft events. 

DECISION: Meh


Chris Givens, WR —Jr.— Wake Forest
           Checking in at 6’0″, 195 pounds, Chris Givens does not fit the profile of most high profile wide out prospects who declare early for the draft. But that is perfect, because that is exactly what makes Givens so dangerous; he is not a high profile receiver. Givens makes up for his lack of size with his speed, route running ability, and hands. Givens has played since his freshman year, and capped it off wit a record setting season in which he earned All-ACC first team honors as a receiver. After putting up a dismal sophomore follow up to his freshman season, Givens finished in 2011 with over 1,300 yards receiving and 9 touchdowns, after assuming the Demon Deacons’ role as key play maker. Givens’ production will surely attract NFL teams looking for their Mike Wallace or Desean Jackson; the smaller, faster receivers who burn corners off the edge, and are becoming a lot more popular across the NFL today.
          Givens’ lack of prototypical size will be the biggest factor to scare off NFL teams from taking him within the first three rounds. In order to negate the possibility of falling down draft boards, Givens must run a fast time at the combine. It will give him the best chance of getting picked earlier. He will also have to stand out from other similar play makers of his stature in this year’s class, such as Kendall Wright and Eric Page. It will be most important to prove that he can be a difference maker. He will never block or get off the line as well as bigger prime time receivers, so the little things will make the biggest difference. At this point, I could see Givens being taken anywhere from the third round on. He will be one of the more scrutinized prospects leading up to the draft. 

DECISION: GOOD

Eric Page, WR —Jr.— Toledo
          Rarely does any prospect declare early from the Mid American Conference, but Toledo’s Eric Page is one of this year’s exceptions. A true junior, Page makes his declaration after establishing himself as one of Toledo’s best players in history. Page has started since his freshman year, catching at least eighty passes and totaling over 1,000 yards receiving each of the three. Page is not only a weapon on offense, but on special teams as well. Page finished the 2011 season fifth nationally with 2,244 all purpose yards, as well as 1,182 yards receiving and 10 touchdowns. Even though his YPC has decreased each year to the next, Page considerably approved upon his statistics each season.
          At 5’10″, 185 pounds, Page faces steeper questions about size and durability than other receivers. Also, at his size he will most likely never be much of an effective blocker in the NFL, and he may be forced to play in a slot role. Page also is one of the smaller burners, much like [Jarius & Kendall] Wright and [Chris] Givens. However, he is even smaller than some of his counterparts. Aside from size and physicality, Page also played at a relatively low level of competition in the MAC conference. Even though he played since his freshman year, he will certainly face a whole new level of competition at the NFL level. With all of these issues, Eric Page does not have a very high ceiling of potential. Returning to school would have been a bad decision, because Page does not have much more to prove in Toledo. With all of these concerns, Page probably currently grades out in the later middle rounds, favorably after the fourth round.

DECISION: GOOD


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Draft Prospect Rankings Update

Hey all! The positional rankings for 2012 eligible prospects have been updated! The only positions left to be added are ILB, CB, S, and K/P. Hopefully all will be up tomorrow!

As all of these rankings are being completed, the scouting reports for each player will be developed. Each position will have its own  unique standard used for the overall evaluation included in individual scouting reports. More on those coming soon!

So, check out the new updates, as a first mock should be coming soon! (; Enjoy!

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Update!

It has been a long while since I have updated. Blame the institution which is providing my university education.

Anywho, all of my original prospect rankings for the 2012 Draft will be uploaded tonight. There are no scouting reports available for any players currently, but they will be gradually added over the next few days/weeks.

2012 Draft Prospect Rankings Index

Just a quick heads up: First Mock Draft tomorrow (11/21)!

More to come…

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Clemson 35, FSU 30: Scouting Recap

Dwayne Allen catch

Dwayne Allen comes through in the clutch late in the fourth.

Yesterday, I was fortunate enough to have the opportunity to attend one of this weekend’s hottest match-ups. I was pumped to see the Clemson/Florida State match-up, not only because they both were top twenty-five teams, but because I knew I had the first hand opportunity to watch many prospects for this year’s draft. This game was sure to showcase whether or not top prospects could perform at the highest level of competition. Not only did I leave Death Valley with a great game experience, I left with many impressions of the top players on both teams. Here is my analysis.

 

Prospects who exceeded expectations:

Brandon Thompson, DT – Clemson:

Going into this game, I believed that Thompson was one of this year’s prospects that had the most to prove to me in order to warrant his already high draft stock. However, many opinions vary in the world of scouting opinion as of now. Some experts rank him as a 1st round pick, but some rank him as a 2nd day pick. I was really anxious to see what kind of player would show up against a quality Florida State offensive line. Clemson’s D-Line featured quite a rotation of players early in the game. Jenkins, when he was in, was clearly highlighted in the Seminole’s blocking scheme. They ran a wildcat formation, normally away from Jenkins’ spot in the 4-3. He fought hard through double teams and had a strong presence in the run game, but did not produce entirely to much pass rush in the first half. His stats do not necessarily show it, but he greatly affected the inefficiency of the FSU run game in the first half. Although, it was obvious that FSU ranks in the bottom ten of rushing offense in the FBS for a reason.

In the second half, Thompson really showed why he has gained a lot of national recognition. In the second half, his motor was endless. That does not really say much at first, but with his body type and the way he plays, he is similar in a lot of ways to Corey Liuget from last year’s draft. Clemson ran various different D-Line stunts with their interior in the second half, and it really reduced the amount of double teams that Thompson had on passing downs. Thompson was very effective in collapsing the interior of the pocket, and forcing quarterback pressure at the same time. FSU freshman quarterback Clint Trickett was forced to make a lot more throws out of the pocket as the game wore deeper into the second half. His presence was known on the field. He was not the one who made the sack that ended the Seminoles’ hopes, but he was part of the entire D-Line that collapsed the pocket on that play. Given his consistent play for the whole game, I would have to say that his draft status has been confirmed. He truly is a top flight lineman who looks to project to be versatile, as I mentioned before, very similarly to Liuget last year. Expect him to be in the same draft range, too.

Andrew Datko, OT – Florida State:

In a year where it looks like the tackle class is going to be a very deep, talented bunch, Datko really proved himself worthy of top flight consideration. He lined up against multiple Clemson defensive ends throughout the day, and Datko showed why he is considered a potential first round pick. He had a quick first step, and really locked in on his blocks. It was rare to see a play when Datko was giving up ground instead of maintaining it. Later in the game, Datko even held his own in linebacker and defensive tackle stunts, which occasionally meant a faceoff between he and Brandon Thompson. Watching he and Thompson grapple in the trenches as the game wore into the fourth quarter was a treat; an unexpected match-up of explosive pro prospects going at it, when the game was on the line.

The lack of running game that the Seminoles have presents an issue with examining his run blocking abilities. With how refined he is in the passing game, all signs of his run blocking prowess points to the same level of consistency despite FSU’s lack of a backfield presence. Datko solidified his status as a mid to late 1st round possibility. I do not think he has quite the same upside as Kalil, Martin and Reiff, but Datko is a solid technician who does not fall too far behind that class of tackles, but currently ahead of the likes of Boise State’s Potter and Oklahoma State’s Adcock. He currently plays on the left, but he could probably be used just as well on the right if need be. Currently, he is one of five tackles I can see being taken on this year’s 1st day.

Prospects who met expectations:

Dwayne Allen, TE – Clemson: 

After watching this game, I think I will officially move Allen into the top Tight End spot for this year’s draft class. I have been debating over these opening week whether or not I would place Allen, Stanford’s Fleener, Oregon’s Paulson, or Missouri’s Agnew at the top spot. Allen displayed this game why he deserves the top spot. He was all over the field yesterday for Clemson’s offense, stepping up in both the run game and the vertical attack. Even though Clemson’s O-Line is a miserable run blocking corps, Allen was frequently engaging  with ends and linebackers. I cannot remember a time when Allen struggled to engage or maintain his blocks. He  maintained good footwork and hand placement throughout the game, and controlled his opponents quite handily. He even took on the likes of FSU’s best defensive players in Nigel Bradham and Brandon Jenkins at times.

In the passing game, he really stood out though. He was clutch on third downs, and effective in the red zone. He shielded his defenders on short to intermediate routes, and was also able to stretch the field vertically. At a critical time in the fourth quarter, Allen stepped up after Florida State had seung monetntum back their way with a long touchdown strike. Facing 3rd & 10 from their own 20, with 7:02 on the clock, quarterback Tajh Boyd hit Allen over the middle after Allen found the soft spot in Florida State’s zone D. But, Allen was able to do it himself with his legs and pick up a significant amount of yards after the catch. He really looked good when he had to, and his draft stock has to be rising after two weeks of consistent quality play, against quality opponents.

Prospects who fell below expectations:

Andre Branch, DE – Clemson:

Unlike teammate Brandon Thompson, Branch did not quell the doubts I have about his draft stock. He is not as highly touted as Thompson, but some have warranted him as high as an early 2nd day pick. However, after lining up across from FSU’s senior offensive tackles Zebrie Sanders and Andrew Datko, Branch was held in check for the majority of the game. He was virtually shut down when he lined up across from Datko. Sanders and Branch battled it out a few times, but Branch struggled to consistently move through Sanders in time to put any pressure on the QB. His biggest problem was playing high, and he struggled to gain consistently gain leverage. He was not even tested in the ground game, as FSU’s rush offense ranks in the bottom ten of all FBS teams. It did not help that Branch was rotated in and out of the game in favor of fellow lineman Malliciah Goodman, Corey Crawford, Rennie Moore, and Kourtnei Brown. Branch has some ground to make up if he does not want to slide into third day consideration, because that is where he seems to be headed at this time.

Brandon Jenkins, DE – Florida State

Even though he put up top flight numbers last year, Jenkins did not do much to quell my worries that he is another overrated psh rushing prospect out of Florida State. Many consider Jenkins a first round prospect, and I can see the potential, but from my perspective the consistency has just not shown through. Matched up against average tackles, Jenkins struggled to display a dizzying array of pass rush moves that one would expect out of a highly touted end prospect. Compared to what you would expect out of an end taken early, he just does not display an arsenal of pass rush moves. Jenkins flashes his stuff, as proved by his sack in this game, but he was sometimes invisible on passing downs, which instead Tajh Boyd capitalized on with the extra time in the pocket. In a match-up where Jenkins was facing another shaky offensive line unit, he disappointed again after a very similar disappointing performance against Oklahoma.

So, you may be asking, what do I make of Jenkins’ draft stock? Well, I think at this point he still borders the 1st-early 2nd draft day range. The season is long, and it will be interesting to see throughout the rest of the season at what points of games Jenkins’ accumulates his numbers, and against which opponents. After struggling against the two toughest tests for the Seminoles so far, Jenkins overwhelmed in both. If this trend continues, he could slide further behind other prospects. He needs to come out against quality opponents in order to vindicate the 1st round grade some have given him.

Rashard Hall, S – Clemson:

Simply put, Hall struggles in pass coverage. His range is average, and he was beaten deep multiple times in this game by a freshman quarterback with no game experience and a young group of  physica; Seminole receivers. He was OK in the run game, but his presence was not especially felt. The way he has been playing this year, it seems as if he is not destined to return to the promising form during his freshman season. However, this is not a surprise given the recent similar slide of former safety DeAndre McDaniel, who performed in a regressing pattern just like Hall. It’s not too early to write him off completely, but there are way too many questions about his pass coverage abilities. He warrants a late selection in a best case scenario.

Xavier Rhodes, CB – Florida State

For a guy with as much athleticism and potential as Rhodes, he really disappointed Saturday. Lining up across from the dynamic trio of Sammy Watkins, DeAndre Hopkins, and occasionally Martavis Bryant, Rhodes really struggled. Clemson’s core of receivers are all underclassmen, but Rhodes really struggled to stay with them, and was flagged for pass interference early. He flashed at times, but was wildly inconsistent. As a whole unit, the Seminole secondary struggled all day. Rhodes is  only a junior, and he has a chance to make up for his inconsistency. Even though he was good against future pro receiver Ryan Broyles last week, he really faltered against Clemson’s young receivers, especially the emerging start Watkins. If the inconsistency continues, he may want to stay for his senior year. However, Rhodes has above average potential, and this performance was not alone enough to significantly drop him from his current 3rd to 4th round draft range, should he choose to enter this year’s draft.

Others:

Andre Ellington, RB – Clemson

I really feel for Ellington. Unlike some other sites that claim that Ellington wont make it since he goes down often on first contact, I believe that the source of Ellington’s struggles this year lie within Clemson’s offensive line. Ellington is consistently running into walls because he has no holes opened for him. His greatest success has come off of the edge, where he can utilize his quick acceleration and burner speed. Although, Ellington has way more questions to answer than he has answered.  The biggest knock on Ellington is that he is too slight to be a feature back, and is weak when it comes to breaking away from arm tackles and light first contact. Hopefully Ellington can ride Clemson’s success and help push him back up the draft board, but for now he is a third day consideration for a team that is looking for a change-of-pace back.

Zebrie Sanders, OT – Florida State

Coming into this game, I considered Sanders a 2nd to 3rd day right tackle only prospect. Sanders held his own most of the game, but did not really do entirely too much to help or hurt his draft grade, although he really faltered on the last drive when the game was on the line for Florida State. The Clemson defensive line overwhelmed Sanders and the rest of the interior on their final stand of the game. Until then, the pocket held up for the freshman Trickett, and Sanders played a significant role in doing so for the game. As mentioned earlier, FSU has not allowed either of their bookends to prove anything in the run game due to their system’s current ineptness. In a deep tackle class, Sanders remains buried in the middle of the conversation. As of now, I would not expect him to be taken any earlier than the 3rd round at the highest.

Greg Reid, CB/KR – Florida State:

Greg Reid did not play a down in the entire game for some reason. He did not practice earlier in the week, but it was only a minor ankle injury. No official word on why he did not play, but he did not have a chance to redeem his fast falling draft stock in an important game. It would have been interesting to see if he could match up better than fellow corner Xavier Rhodes did against the like’s of Clemson’s dynamic duo of Watkins and Hopkins in order for a redemption performance. His chances were really hurt by missing this opportunity. Some consider him one of the nation’s best playmakers, but he seems to be a third day consideration based upon his match-up disadvantage due to his size, and his lack of natural corner instinct and discipline.

Clemson O-Line:

One of the weakest points of the Tiger squad is their O-Line. Their tackles Price and Walker will not be pros, and neither will senior guard McClain. Andre Ellington sure misses former RT Chris Hairston, as this unit has really struggled to open holes for the back. And I mean really struggled, Ellington has only found any success off of the edge (normally towards TE Dwayne Allen) and has been eaten up between the tackles. They hold up in pass protection, but they look stiff and average all the way around.

 

Amidst the tremendous excitement of this back-and-forth game, I still came away with a clearer perception of both teams pro talent. Clemson’s talent is deeper than I once thought, and much of that depth is kudos to a lot of young talent that coach Dabo Swinney has brought in. On the other hand, Florida State is just as young, a little thinner, and played with a little less discipline than the Clemson club. Both programs seemingly are on their way up. On top of all, I was really disappointed that I was not able to see how E.J. Manuel would perform coming off such a tough loss to Oklahoma, and in a face-off with Tajh Boyd . Luckily for the Seminoles, true freshman Clint Trickett was able to perform up to a high level given his experience to keep the Seminoles in the game. Tough loss for the Seminoles, but this was a really exciting game in an electric atmosphere.

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…And we’re live!…

Welcome football fans!

 

This is the inaugural post of the soon-to-be hotspot for coverage on everything football. Expect to find everything you need to inform yourself about the dynamics of each year’s NFL Draft, as well as opinions regarding current events in the football world. My primary intent is to provide the most thorough, and most accurate NFL Draft Center on the entire web. That will be my focus. I’m starting small, but hopefully I will reach my dreams with persistence and dedication.

But that is not my only objective. From the NCAA to the NFL, from the first week to the last, from Air Force and Isa Abdul-Quddus to Wyoming and Jeremy Zuttah, I will do my best to give the world my full, unadulterated opinions on the world of football.

First, I will give a brief introduction of myself. Instead of wasting the space in this post, you can find my quick-bio here.

Second, here is a brief outlook on my plans for this site, and it’s overall function. To the left(may not be viewable yet), all posts and topics will be organized by their respective domain; whether they fall into the realm of NFL football, College (NCAA) football, and the NFL Draft.

 

Since the NFL Draft section will be the most frequently updated, here is an overview of it’s respective sections and what you can find in them.

Prospect Rankings: Players will be sorted according to position, and ranked according to overall grade and their respective projection of where one might expect them to be taken in the draft.

Mock Drafts: The physical accumulation of everything associated with the prospect rankings. Expect to find multiple updates a week. Will include mock drafts of each year’s upcoming draft, as well as the next’s.

Scouting Reports: This section is a derivative of the prospect rankings section. The more highly touted prospects will be featured here. These scouting reports will be from a prospect’s most difficult games in the year where they face their steepest competition (and when I have a solid chance to evaluate them in a big game, on national television!).

Draft Stock: Weekly coverage of draft prospects who’s stock is either rising/falling, and the rationale for their change in draft stock.

More content is likely to be added as everything is completely uploaded to the site, and once I receive some community feedback from my followers (which will slowly accumulate!).

 

Next, here is what you can expect from the NFL section:

 

Instant Replay: Overall, this is just a weekly “monday morning quarterback” type of blog. This will mainly be a review of all the games around the NFL each week, along with the highlights, trends, injuries, etc. In essence, what stands out from week to week.

Rookie Reports: This section will be a dedicated effort to follow all the rookies around the league who are earning first year playing time. Their progress will be analyzed thoroughly. Updated weekly.

Rookie Rankings: The physical implementation of the rookie reports. Ranking the top rookie performers around the league. Updated weekly as well.

The Three Year Plan: This will be one of the less attended-to areas of the website, but that does not mean it will not be very interesting/important. The “Three Year Plan” will be a complete evaluation of all third year players. Basically, this involves following each pro players career from the time that they are drafted until the end of their third year. Analysis will occur by both a team and individual level. I do not want to give away too many details though…wait and see what the first one will look like! Expect details…lots of details…

Also, don’t forget to watch out for general columns about the NFL posted during the week.

 

Lastly, the details on the NCAA section:

 

Other than the Prospect Tracker, which analyzes NCAA underclassmen or pro prospects just hitting the college football scene, the NCAA section will be mainly devoted to columns about topics from around the world of football. Whatever is making news, you will most likely find an opinion of it here.

 

So there you have it, a brief outlook on what The Zone Coverage will be able to provide for you. As time passes, this site will only get better and better. Please enjoy, and don’t hesitate to make constructive suggestions. This will probably be my only post for about a week or so, as I integrate a better site design/efficiency, and work on some articles. There will be plenty more to come.

Posted in NCAA, NFL, NFL DRAFT | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments